От Skvortsov Ответить на сообщение
К Д.И.У.
Дата 09.09.2020 13:42:43 Найти в дереве
Рубрики Современность; Армия; Версия для печати

Фолклендский конфликт 1982 г. уместен для данной темы


>Короче, "угрожаемого периода" в этом конфликте не только не было, но и не могло быть. Имела место не преднамеренная, запланированная война, а политико-пропагандистский просчёт в чистом виде.

THE OFFICIAL HISTORY OF THE
FALKLANDS CAMPAIGN
Volume I: The Origins of the Falklands War
Sir Lawrence Freedman


Noting that ‘the ultimate use of force by Argentina is a contingency that cannot be ruled out’, in April 1981 FCO’s South American Department asked for a reappraisal of MoD planning. The work that was got underway was still reliant on papers left over from the 1977 exercise.
This July 1981 JIC Assessment identified as further contingencies:
1 Harassment or arrest of British shipping:
2 Military occupation of one or more of the uninhabited Islands;
3 Arrest of the BAS team on South Georgia;
4 Small scale military operation against the Islands;
5 Full scale military invasion of the Islands.
On receiving the JIC assessment MoD judged that there had been a marginal increase in
the threat "but not sufficient for us to alter our position from 1979."